Solo ex engineer, Meta, Apple, Google

Run ads scientifically, avoid vanity metrics
You don’t need better ads, you need ads based on science, not dashboards

I design campaigns from behavioral research, not best practices. I don’t optimize for clicks or ROAS, I optimize for measured revenue lift. Want to see the system before we work together, join the list and get a five minute paper each day.

Meta
Performance creative
Apple
Intent, SKAN
Google
Incrementality
Solo
Ex engineer

Get the five minute papers

One research backed insight per day, the same system I use to run ads.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Why most dashboards lie

I align strategy with human behavior and measured cash flow, not vanity numbers.

ROAS is a vanity metric

ROAS goes up when revenue goes down. If a metric can lie, it will. I optimize for incremental profit and payback, not ad platform math.

Free offers destroy ARPU

Add the word free and watch conversions spike, then watch average revenue collapse. I design offers that raise willingness to pay, not just clicks.

Engines optimize cost, not profit

Google, Meta, Apple optimize for their system objectives, not your margin. I architect signals so algorithms chase real value.

Science that changes decisions

These are the kinds of papers I break down in the newsletter, five minutes, daily.

~90%

Selection of the free option in zero price settings

Shampanier, Mazar, Ariely, 2007 source

30% vs 3%

Purchase rate with small selection compared to large selection

Iyengar, Lepper, 2000 source

4,100%

Overstatement of ad effectiveness without incrementality controls

Harvard Business Review, 2021 source

~2×

Losses weigh about twice gains in decisions

Kahneman, Tversky, 1979 source

The newsletter decodes papers into working tactics for creative, offers, audiences, bidding, and measurement. If we work together, this is the research I use to design your campaigns.

Straight answers

Can you get more conversions quickly

Yes, add the word free, your conversions will spike, your revenue will fall. I optimize for profitable behavior, not vanity counts.

Is this a big agency

No, it is just me, a solo operator, an ex engineer who works hands on. If you want cheap conversions, there are many agencies on Fiverr.

How do we start

Start with the newsletter, see the research I use, then reply when you are ready. The emails do the selling, not this page.

Get the five minute papers I use to run ads scientifically